Brexit Compo: RESULTS !

Your predictions, please, for the state of play on Brexit Day 29 March 2019:

1. who will be PM?

2. has there been a GE? If so, what headline outcome?

3. has a 2nd referendum happened? If happened - question? result?

4. in broad terms, on what basis is the UK / EU relationship set for the immediate 12 months following that date?

5. has Gove disappeared up his own fundament?

6. do the LibDems still exist?

7. tie-breaker: any other colourful details concerning British politics you care to append?

So now we know.  Sort of.  There were 16 valid entries, which is just a few more varieties than MPs voted on the other night.  Most people inevitably got 1, 2 & 3 correct; though the left-field players were anon#3, Hopper, CU and anon#4 who went for Corbs (and had thus also given the GE & result wrongly, too); Jan (Jacobus) and GridBot (Sadiq, & thus GE wrong also).  But a special mention to Andrew, who said "TM will announce resignation on 29/3/19", which is pretty damned close.  Kev reckoned R2 would have been scheduled, but not yet taken place.

So 4 becomes the main battleground, but let's look first at 5&6.  BQ had Govey for Foreign Sec by now; DJK had him as ultra-loyal, and Bogotol as beavering away on enviro-stuff (both pretty close); AndrewZ had him as "head down" (is that the same as head-up-bum?).  Anon#4 reckoned him as facing Sadiq across the Despatch Box as Tory leader; and I had him as "positioning" (is that the same as ...?)   I also had Cable as having gone by now, which I'd like to think is almost right ...  Otherwise the Libs didn't feature much - which is only fair and proportionate.

I direct y'all to the original post for the tie-breaker contributions

Now for 4.  We had 2 x Hard Brexit (Jan, anon#3); 4 x Remain (with more or less bitterness expressed - Kev, CU, GridBot and anon#4) and DJK with "indistinguishable from today";  7 x leaving, or leaving-ish (BQ, Charlie, AndrewZ, Andrew, ND, Bogotol; and Hopper saying "trade war" which I take to be in the Leaving camp).  Two got closest: anon-newbie with "status quo - can kicked down the road" and TBHall with extension of A50.

As for today's rider, we have the following: DJK closest on margin (70) with Jan runner-up at 40.  And Radders had a good stab at the absolutes: 299 plays 335.  CU reckons everything's coming his way, and he's the proprietor ...

So - with the one special mention for Andrew, and a couple of other creditable near-misses, in the spirit of the Indicative Votes I declare ... nobody wins!  Ain't that a fact.

But (assuming we are all spared, as they say) - I'll buy anyone a drink at the next C@W gathering.   That's a solemn & binding manifesto promise ...

ND

from Capitalists@Work http://www.cityunslicker.co.uk/2019/03/brexit-compo-results.html